By Next Russian President
In the ever-evolving landscape of Russian politics, an air of uncertainty looms over the Kremlin. Vladimir Putin, Russia’s enigmatic leader, has been at the helm for over two decades, but whispers of change are growing louder. As the Russian Presidential elections loom on the horizon in March 2024, the Federal Security Service (FSB) appears to be making clandestine moves to select the next Russian president. In this comprehensive exploration, we delve into the intricate web of Russian politics and the potential candidates who may succeed Putin.
The Prigozhin Saga: A Catalyst for Change
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Recent events surrounding Yevgeny Prigozhin, the former chief of the Wagner mercenary group, have thrown the Russian political landscape into disarray. Prigozhin’s untimely demise in a plane crash has raised suspicions both domestically and internationally, with many pointing fingers at the Kremlin. Prigozhin, once a loyal ally to Putin, had seemingly become a thorn in his side. His failed mutiny in June 2023 marked a critical turning point in the relationship between Putin and his former associate.
The Impending Presidential Elections
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The Russian Presidential elections are slated for March 2024, and the world watches with bated breath to see whether Vladimir Putin will officially declare his candidacy. While some Kremlin officials anticipate his run, there is growing speculation that the FSB, a formidable entity in Russian politics, may have different plans.
Dr. Yuri Felshtinsky, a prominent Russian historian, argues that the FSB has the power to influence the election outcome significantly. With the introduction of remote voting in 2021, the FSB could potentially manipulate the votes in favor of their preferred candidate. This assertion raises questions about whether Putin’s reign is indeed on its last legs.
The FSB’s Role in Russian Politics
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Dr. Felshtinsky contends that the FSB wields substantial control over Russia’s political machinery. This assertion is not without historical precedent. In 1999, when Boris Yeltsin resigned, Putin, a former KGB agent, swiftly ascended to the presidency, thanks in no small part to the FSB’s support. If history is any indicator, the FSB may orchestrate a similar succession in the near future.
Potential Successors
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The question that now lingers is: Who might replace Vladimir Putin as the next Russian president? Several names have emerged as potential contenders, each with their own set of circumstances and qualifications.
1. Nikolai Patrushev
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Nikolai Patrushev, the Secretary of the Security Council of Russia, is a key figure often mentioned in political circles. If the Prime Minister’s position were to change suddenly, it could signify the FSB’s move to promote Patrushev to the presidency.
2. Alexei Dyumin
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Putin’s former bodyguard, Alexei Dyumin, is another individual who may ascend to the presidency. His close proximity to Putin over the years could position him as a viable successor.
3. Sergei Kiriyenko
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Sergei Kiriyenko, Russia’s former Prime Minister and the man who recommended Putin as the head of the FSB, remains a potential candidate. His deep political experience could make him a strong contender.
4. Mikhail Mishustin
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The current Prime Minister, Mikhail Mishustin, is also among those mentioned. His role in the Russian government and experience in economic matters could make him a formidable candidate.
The Russian Political Landscape
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One crucial aspect to consider is the lack of a real opposition in Russia. While there are six political parties with representation in the federal parliament, United Russia effectively operates as a one-party system, maintaining a stronghold on the nation’s politics.
Dmitry Peskov’s Comments
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Dmitry Peskov, Putin’s press secretary, sparked controversy with his recent statement to the New York Times, suggesting Putin would win the upcoming election with over 90 percent of the vote. Although he later clarified his statement, it harkens back to a time when Soviet-era elections were a mere formality.
The Path Forward
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As Putin approaches his 70th year and battles various health issues, the question of succession becomes more pressing. It is increasingly plausible that Putin may choose to resign before the presidential election, paving the way for a high-ranking FSB official to ascend to the presidency, much like Putin’s own journey from KGB agent to President.
The future of Russia hangs in the balance, and the FSB’s role in determining the next president remains a subject of intense speculation. While the world awaits the outcome of the March 2024 election, the FSB quietly continues to shape Russia’s political destiny.
